Gas Network Risk Forecasting
Nov 1, 2024
·
1 min read

This project was developed for the Hera Group Hackathon, where it earned 2nd place. The task was to detect gas leak risk in a setting dominated by imbalance, sparse events, and operational uncertainty.
The pipeline combines geospatial-temporal feature engineering with synthetic data augmentation through CTGAN and TimeGAN, then uses SHAP to keep the final model interpretable rather than purely predictive.
What I still like about this project is its balance between pragmatism and method: it is a hackathon project, but it already reflects an approach I use often, namely trying to make difficult prediction problems more robust without giving up explainability.

Authors
Stefano Blando
(he/him)
PhD Student in Artificial Intelligence
Stefano Blando is a PhD student in the National PhD Program in Artificial Intelligence at
Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna and the University of Pisa. His research lies at the intersection
of AI, agent-based modeling, and economics. He studies adaptive multi-agent systems,
statistical verification of economic simulations, and robust quantitative methods for
financial and socio-economic data.