Gas Network Risk Forecasting

Nov 1, 2024 · 1 min read
projects

This project was developed for the Hera Group Hackathon, where it earned 2nd place. The task was to detect gas leak risk in a setting dominated by imbalance, sparse events, and operational uncertainty.

The pipeline combines geospatial-temporal feature engineering with synthetic data augmentation through CTGAN and TimeGAN, then uses SHAP to keep the final model interpretable rather than purely predictive.

What I still like about this project is its balance between pragmatism and method: it is a hackathon project, but it already reflects an approach I use often, namely trying to make difficult prediction problems more robust without giving up explainability.

Stefano Blando
Authors
PhD Student in Artificial Intelligence
Stefano Blando is a PhD student in the National PhD Program in Artificial Intelligence at Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna and the University of Pisa. His research lies at the intersection of AI, agent-based modeling, and economics. He studies adaptive multi-agent systems, statistical verification of economic simulations, and robust quantitative methods for financial and socio-economic data.